Dashboard

+$122.72
all-time profit · +31% return on 12/16 bets won
+$122.72
last day graded Nov 1
+$0.00
at risk right now (0 open)
—
open bets marked at today’s prices
0/0
sure/strong lined up for Thu Nov 5 · 10 on the model watchlist

Last five weeks

10/5
10/6
10/7
10/8
10/9
10/10
10/11
10/12
10/13
10/14
10/15
10/16
10/17
10/18
10/19
10/20
10/21
10/22
10/23
10/24
10/25
10/26
10/27
10/28
10/29
10/30
10/31
+$122.7
11/1
11/2
11/3
11/4
11/5
11/6
11/7
11/8
green = money won that day · red = money lost · blue = bets sitting open, waiting to grade

Every dollar so far — up $122.72 on 16 graded bets

+$122.72
12 of 16 tickets won · scored Nov 1 · the first game day of results — more days land as the season plays on

Bets we hold right now

We hold nothing right now. That is the machine working as intended — it waits until a market price drops under a safe floor, then buys. First look at Thu Nov 5’s prices lands below.

The plan for each game

JAX @ BAL Thu Nov 5 · 8:15 pm ET · Kalshi hasn’t listed this game yet
Zay FlowersBAL · receiving yards 7.6+model only
safe floor 7.6price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
Derrick HenryBAL · rushing yards 35.6+model only
safe floor 35.6price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
Parker WashingtonJAX · receiving yards 5.2+model only
safe floor 5.2price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
Brenton StrangeJAX · receiving yards 8.4+model only
safe floor 8.4price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
Bhayshul TutenJAX · rushing yards 13.8+model only
safe floor 13.8price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
Jakobi MeyersJAX · receiving yards 10.1+model only
safe floor 10.1price now not listedwould stake $2waiting on market
DEN @ CAR Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · market open
Nothing clears our bar in this game yet — every candidate is priced above its safe floor.
HOU @ LAC Sun Nov 8 · 4:05 pm ET · market open
Nothing clears our bar in this game yet — every candidate is priced above its safe floor.

Results, week by week

weekbetshit rateresult
Oct 26 – Nov 11612/16+$122.72

Results by bet type

typebetshit rateresult
practice machine1412/14+$123.50
sold early20/2−$0.78
every number here comes from the same ledger the bets were placed from — nothing is illustrative. Trades we closed before the game ended show under “sold early”. Full detail on the history page; calibration proof on is it working?.
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