The line we want from Zay Flowers: receiving yards at/below 7.6 — he beats that number about 9 times out of 10. We buy only at or below it, and only at 97¢ or less.
receiving yards — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 7.6. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
15+
77¢
5.0k
87%
+0.1
STRONG — our line
20+
70¢
377
87%
+0.2
STRONG — our line
25+
61¢
632
87%
+0.3
STRONG — our line
30+
54¢
2.3k
87%
+0.3
STRONG — our line
40+
39¢
10.4k
77%
+0.4
STRONG — our line
50+
29¢
71.0k
77%
+0.5
marginal
60+
20¢
31.1k
65%
+0.5
marginal
70+
15¢
10.0k
65%
+0.5
marginal
80+
10¢
8.1k
65%
+0.6
marginal
90+
7¢
8.6k
65%
+0.6
marginal
100+
7¢
9.3k
39%
+0.3
reject
110+
3¢
5.1k
39%
+0.4
reject
120+
2¢
1.6k
39%
+0.4
reject
receptions — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 1.9. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
2+
98¢
829
87%
-0.1
STRONG — our line
3+
84¢
1.1k
87%
+0.0
STRONG — our line
4+
66¢
13.3k
87%
+0.2
STRONG — our line
5+
47¢
53.6k
65%
+0.2
marginal
6+
28¢
10.4k
55%
+0.3
marginal
7+
17¢
8.9k
39%
+0.2
reject
8+
14¢
4.8k
39%
+0.2
reject
9+
6¢
1.6k
39%
+0.3
reject
10+
3¢
537
0%
-0.0
reject
generated Thu Nov 5, 9:07 pm · practice-money desk · every number on this page comes from the same model used for buying