The line we want from Mark Andrews: receiving yards at/below 6.6 — he beats that number about 9 times out of 10. We buy only at or below it, and only at 97¢ or less.
Route profile · last 4 games
How the offense actually uses him in the passing game — built free from every play-by-play file, not a paid charting service. Receivers with more air get more targets even when names change.
13%
share of team’s passing air
6%
his targets downfield
42%
how much his team throws
40%
how much they face throws
receiving yards — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 6.6. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
5+
100¢
51
86%
-0.1
CERTAIN — our line
10+
80¢
14.4k
86%
+0.1
STRONG — our line
15+
66¢
1.9k
86%
+0.2
STRONG — our line
20+
51¢
16.0k
83%
+0.3
STRONG — our line
25+
39¢
5.7k
64%
+0.2
marginal
30+
28¢
4.0k
36%
+0.1
marginal
40+
16¢
3.5k
36%
+0.2
reject
50+
9¢
4.2k
0%
-0.1
reject
60+
5¢
6.9k
0%
-0.1
reject
70+
3¢
50
0%
-0.0
reject
receptions — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 1.6. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
2+
85¢
1.0k
86%
+0.0
STRONG — our line
3+
59¢
44.0k
79%
+0.2
STRONG — our line
4+
34¢
8.9k
37%
+0.0
reject
5+
17¢
2.8k
30%
+0.1
reject
6+
8¢
719
8%
+0.0
reject
7+
4¢
209
0%
-0.0
reject
8+
3¢
163
0%
-0.0
reject
generated Thu Nov 5, 9:07 pm · practice-money desk · every number on this page comes from the same model used for buying