The line we want from Derrick Henry: rushing yards at/below 35.6 — he beats that number about 9 times out of 10. We buy only at or below it, and only at 97¢ or less.
Route profile · last 4 games
How the offense actually uses him in the passing game — built free from every play-by-play file, not a paid charting service. Receivers with more air get more targets even when names change.
-1%
share of team’s passing air
0%
his targets downfield
42%
how much his team throws
40%
how much they face throws
rushing yards — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 35.6. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
40+
100¢
136.2k
94%
-0.1
STRONG — our line
50+
99¢
27.0k
88%
-0.1
STRONG — our line
60+
92¢
46.0k
88%
-0.0
STRONG — our line
70+
82¢
182.2k
69%
-0.1
marginal
75+
78¢
23.1k
55%
-0.2
marginal
80+
68¢
44.9k
38%
-0.3
marginal
90+
56¢
40.0k
19%
-0.4
reject
100+
43¢
68.7k
19%
-0.2
reject
110+
29¢
22.6k
19%
-0.1
reject
120+
22¢
10.4k
19%
-0.0
reject
130+
16¢
2.7k
19%
+0.0
reject
140+
9¢
4.2k
0%
-0.1
reject
150+
7¢
6.3k
0%
-0.1
reject
160+
5¢
2.9k
0%
-0.1
reject
carries — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 14.0. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
15+
94¢
7.1k
94%
+0.0
STRONG — our line
18+
76¢
69.4k
84%
+0.1
STRONG — our line
21+
62¢
12.9k
45%
-0.2
reject
receptions — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 0.7. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
2+
27¢
10.9k
24%
-0.0
reject
3+
12¢
3.8k
24%
+0.1
reject
4+
3¢
4.3k
0%
-0.0
reject
5+
2¢
2.7k
0%
-0.0
reject
receiving yards — every line on him
The green mark is the 9-in-10 safe floor: 0.2. Lines at or below it are the ones we buy.
line
buy for
traded
odds it hits
us vs price
our verdict
5+
49¢
505
67%
+0.2
marginal
10+
31¢
10.4k
55%
+0.2
marginal
15+
20¢
9.8k
47%
+0.3
reject
20+
15¢
9.6k
17%
+0.0
reject
25+
9¢
6.0k
0%
-0.1
reject
30+
7¢
5.7k
0%
-0.1
reject
40+
3¢
13.6k
0%
-0.0
reject
generated Thu Nov 5, 9:07 pm · practice-money desk · every number on this page comes from the same model used for buying